2016 electoral vote prediction

8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. Trump R Main Opponent.

Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump Moodys Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the.

2016 electoral vote prediction. From the NBC News Political Unit. In our final battleground map of the 2016 presidential race Hillary Clinton holds a substantial lead over Donald Trump. Clinton has 274 electoral votes in her column which is more than the 270 needed to win the presidency.

Electoral College deadlock no candidate gets 270 electoral votes. Electoral College 269-269 tie. Recount at least one decisive.

The 2016 model projects Clinton has a 718 chance of winning on Tuesday with 485 of the popular vote and 301 Electoral college votes. Assuming the lean likely and safe Democratic states remain loyal to the party the nominee need only win 23 of the 85 toss-up electoral votes. 53 rader Im finished making predictions for the 2016 Presidential Election contest.

According to my. The 2016 historical interactive map shows the official electoral vote which Trump won 304-227 with seven total faithless electors. The map at this URL was originally created for the 2020 election as a Trump vs.

For an interactive map choose one of the following. 2016 Final Electoral Vote Count. However unpredictable the ascent of Donald Trump onto the stage of presidential politics may have been one forecast model has been highly confident for months that he would win the election on November 8 2016.

The Primary Model predicted on March 7 2016 that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton with 87 percent certainty. 2016 will be the MeerkatPeriscope election. Dan Pfeiffer et al If 2004 was about Meetup 2008 was about Facebook and 2012 was about Twitter 2016 is going to be about.

National popular vote. Clinton 40 06. Where possible variance minimization was used to identify a time window that gave lower variance than the standard time window.

51 DemocraticIndependent seats 49 Republican seats. On Wednesday House Republicans will vote whether to boot Rep. Liz Cheney R-WY from her post as Chairman of the House Republican Conference and to replace her with presumably Rep.

Barring the unexpected Cheney will walk the plank. The interesting part will be seeing how few votes there are to keep her. We simulated a Nov.

8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 98 million simulations Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore we say Clinton has a 980 percent chance of becoming president.

In 2016 the major prediction sites all predicted a Clinton victory but with probabilities that varied widely Aisch et al 2016. Several of the errors in regression-based electoral vote share predictions are based on extremely small prediction margins. Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump Moodys Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the.

Likely Electoral Outcomes The chart below shows the most likely electoral vote outcomes. When every state has been called this chart will show just one. The total electoral votes of the winner.

2016 Electoral College Results. Trump R Main Opponent. Hillary Clinton D Electoral Vote.

On the off chance of a mismatch between electoral and popular votes as happened in 2016 the forecast for 2020 targets the vote of the Electoral College assuming a majority of electors for one nominee. Winning primaries especially the early ones has proved to be a powerful leading indicator of victory in November. 257 to 281 Vote margin.

31 Center for American Progress American Enterprise Institute Brookings Institution Americas Electoral Future. Still even when the same 2016.